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Author Topic: Astros......... so hot right now.......  (Read 328 times)

JasonK

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Astros......... so hot right now.......
« on: February 14, 2019, 01:14:03 PM »
"I'm done trading until the start of the season. I feel really good about my roster right now. With the $8 mil I've got left, I'll probably add one or two low cost pen arm and a few minor league stashes."

Ok, I lied.  Update: Things have changed.

SP1 - Tanaka: 11-7, 3.78 ERA, 116ERA+, 3.83 FIP, 3.1 WAR
SP2 - McCullers: 10-6, 3.51 ERA, 118ERA+, 3.42 FIP, 2.6 WAR
SP3 - Foltynewicz: 12-10, 3.93 ERA, 106ERA+, 4.00 FIP, 2.5 WAR
SP4 -  Senzatela: 10-7, 4.48 ERA, 112ERA+, 4.36 FIP, 2.0 WAR
SP5 - Lauer: 7-8, 4.59 ERA, 89ERA+, 4.57 FIP, .9 WAR
LRP - Lyons: 2-2, 4.14 ERA, 94ERA+, 4.06 FIP, .2 WAR
RRP - Houston: 1-1, 4.15, 105ERA+, 4.09, .5 WAR
RRP - Warren: 3-2, 3.34 ERA, 123ERA+, 3.56 FIP, .9 WAR
RRP - Bowman: 3-2, 3.81 ERA, 111ERA+, 3.90 FIP, .6 WAR
RRP - Jimenez: 5-3, 3.50 ERA, 125ERA+, 3.20 FIP, 1.1 WAR
CL - Giles: 2-2, 3.49 ERA, 119ERA+, 2.96 FIP, .9 WAR

C - Gomes: .238BA, .688OPS, 1.1WAR, 3 Def
C2 - Wallach: .203BA, .609OPS, .2WAR, 0 Def
1B - Bour: .236BA, .771OPS, 1.1WAR, -2 Def
2B - Panik: .275BA, 731OPS, 2.0WAR, 0 Def
3B - Bregman: .277BA, .861OPS, 5.4WAR, -1 Def
SS - Correa: .262BA, .806OPS, 3.7WAR, -1 Def
INF - McMahon: .267BA, .772OPS, 1.3WAR, 3 Def
LF - Gonzalez: .256BA, .748OPS, 1.9WAR, 4 Def
CF - Janikowski: .245BA, .650OPS, 1.4 WAR, 5 Def
RF - Springer: .259BA, .789OPS, 3.4WAR, -2 Def
OF - Zagunis: .238BA, .729OPS, 1.6WAR, -3 Def
OF - Gardner: .246BA, .713OPS, 1.5 WAR, 4 Def
DH/UTIL- Tomas: .253BA, .726OPS, -.5 WAR, -7 Def
DH/1B - Trumbo: .238BA, 733OPS, 0.6WAR, 0 Def
« Last Edit: April 08, 2019, 01:49:25 PM by JasonK »
Jason K
Houston Astros General Manager
Golden Fleece Triumvirate 2019

JasonK

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Re: Astros......... so hot right now.......
« Reply #1 on: March 07, 2019, 08:57:12 AM »
Hate to lose Altuve, but Gardner should help lighten that loss a little.  Quality LH leadoff hitter with good defense. Tomas is just a RH masher that'll see time primarily at DH, because he sucks in the field.
Jason K
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JasonK

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Re: Astros......... so hot right now.......
« Reply #2 on: March 08, 2019, 10:05:46 AM »
 Adding Jimenez really solidifies my bullpen. Gonna need it with Mengeden and Lauer not projecting to big innings numbers. He's instantly my best projected reliever, but now there is only one sub 100ERA+ arm there, and it's my LOOGY, so no tall concern.

Gonzalez is going to play every where. Gives me some real flexibility and good defense at every position he plays. Sanchez was a calculated risk. He's not going too add a lot offensively, but that glove will really help contact guys like Senzatela and Mengeden. My outfield may be the best, defensively, in the league, since I plan on DHing Springer vs RHs. Correa may not have a great number, but Sanchez can make up for that.
« Last Edit: March 08, 2019, 10:26:34 AM by JasonK »
Jason K
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JasonK

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Re: Astros......... so hot right now.......
« Reply #3 on: March 08, 2019, 12:02:51 PM »
Preseason Projection:

Pythagorean W/L: 95-67
Average Box/Pitchers (9 innings): 8 H, 4 R, 1 HRa, 3 BB, 8 Is
Average Box/Batters (9 innings): 33 ABs, 5 R, 8 H, 2 D, 1 HR, 5 RBI, 3 BB, 8 Ks

Preseason Team MVP: Alex Bregman. His ZiPS are right about where I'd liked them to be, so if he produces at that level, he's the best bat in my organization.

Preseason Team CY: Lance McCullers. Projecting him to 35 starts, strictly off his ZIPS put him at 17-9 with a 3.51 ERA and 205 Ks over 195IP.

Team ROY: Travis Jankowski. Not a lot of competition here, but Jankowski is going to see time as the primary CFer vs RHs, where his glove and decent bat should create opportunities for us to win more games. That, and Lauer doesn't project that well yet.
Jason K
Houston Astros General Manager
Golden Fleece Triumvirate 2019

JimH

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Re: Astros......... so hot right now.......
« Reply #4 on: March 08, 2019, 05:55:56 PM »
Nice job reviving the Astros- not looking forward to facing you guys in the playoffs.

JasonK

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Re: Astros......... so hot right now.......
« Reply #5 on: March 09, 2019, 07:33:42 AM »
I have a feeling  we well meet there, for sure.
Jason K
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JasonK

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Re: Astros......... so hot right now.......
« Reply #6 on: March 16, 2019, 06:48:40 AM »
Hate having to put Springer in Center vs Lefties, but Zagunis is an upgrade over Marisnick at the plate, and gives me another high OBP bat vs LHs.  I'll live with the hit to my outfield defense for, what, 42 games a year. 
Jason K
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JasonK

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Re: Astros......... so hot right now.......
« Reply #7 on: March 17, 2019, 10:43:51 AM »
Yeah, he added $12 mil to my bottom line......but Trumbo is a straight up RH thumper......and it's only 316 down the LF line in Houston....

My lineup is gonna effing mash......
Jason K
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JasonK

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Re: Astros......... so hot right now.......
« Reply #8 on: March 21, 2019, 05:54:46 AM »
Not a Panik (see what I did there) move, but Joe has a higher OPS+ and sports a more consistent bat than Yolmer, without really sacrificing defense. He's also a LHer that can hit lefties pretty well, so it was worth the move.
« Last Edit: March 21, 2019, 09:49:49 AM by JasonK »
Jason K
Houston Astros General Manager
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JasonK

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Re: Astros......... so hot right now.......
« Reply #9 on: April 08, 2019, 01:47:01 PM »
Gave up a lot, but Foltynewicz is worth it to stay competitive in this division. The rotational ERA+ now sits at 107, with Lauer being the low man. Mengden is the odd man out in this situation, but he'll be up of anyone underperforms or gets hurt.
Jason K
Houston Astros General Manager
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JasonK

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Re: Astros......... so hot right now.......
« Reply #10 on: April 09, 2019, 12:00:35 PM »
SP ERA+: 107
Bullpen ERA+: 113
Starting Lineup RH OPS+: 104
Starting Lineup LH OPS+: 103
Jason K
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